Since moving to Indianapolis, only one Colts team – in 2007 – scored more points in the first five games of a season than the 2025 Colts.
Those 2007 Colts, with Peyton Manning, Marvin Harrison, Reggie Wayne, Dallas Clark, etc. put up 164 points over their first five games; the 2025 Colts, with Daniel Jones, Jonathan Taylor, Michael Pittman Jr., Tyler Warren, etc. have scored 163 points so far this season.
Want more context? The Colts this season are second in the NFL, behind only the Detroit Lions, in points per game (32.6). They're one of three teams to score 40 or more points twice over the first five games of 2025, along with the Dallas Cowboys (who are 1-0-1 in those games) and the Baltimore Ravens (who are 1-1 when scoring 40+).
The point, pun intended, being: The Colts are scoring. A lot.
And the natural follow-up question here is this: Is all this scoring sustainable?
Today, let's dig into a key reason why, yes, the Colts' offensive success this season does look sustainable. And it all starts on first down, on which the Colts are averaging 6.1 yards per play, second in the NFL behind only the Baltimore Ravens (6.3).
Looking deeper, the Colts' offense has been successful on first down for a couple of reasons. First has been quarterback Daniel Jones' connection with wide receiver Michael Pittman Jr., who's among the NFL's top go-to guys on first down this season:
| Player | Team | 1st down targets | 1st down receptions | 1st down yards | 1st downs created on 1st down |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua | LAR | 28 | 21 | 220 | 9 |
| Jake Ferguson | DAL | 26 | 21 | 154 | 6 |
| Christian McCaffrey | SF | 25 | 21 | 197 | 8 |
| Michael Pittman Jr. | IND | 21 | 16 | 156 | 10 |
| Justin Jefferson | MIN | 20 | 14 | 202 | 7 |
Pittman's 10 chain-moving catches on first down are tied for the most in the NFL through five weeks with the Detroit Lions' Amon-Ra St. Brown, the Dallas Cowboys' George Pickens and the Seattle Seahawks' Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
"His consistency – he always finds a way to create separation, the contested catches that he makes are incredible and then his YAC, he's so physical," head coach Shane Steichen said. "Even when we throw him something short underneath, he makes a guy miss, runs a guy over, gets a couple extra yards, and I think that kind of sets a tone for our offense, just his physicality and how he plays the receiver position is a big plus for us."
Also, five players are tied for sixth in the NFL with eight first down receptions on first down: McCaffrey, Ja'Marr Chase, Malik Nabers, Garrett Wilson and...Tyler Warren.
Pittman – and Warren – have been massive contributors in keeping the Colts on schedule on first down. Jones leads the NFL with 627 passing yards on first down, and he's fifth with an average of 9.1 yards per attempt on first down. Interestingly, Jones is 16th in completion percentage on first down, but at 69.6 percent, that's still an efficient rate.
And a lot of that success has to do with the trust Jones has in Pittman.
"He's just a really smart football player, he's always going to be in the right spot, he's tough," Jones said. "Something I've really noticed since we started playing and getting in these games is how physical he is as a runner, how hard he is to tackle. And as a quarterback, it's fun to play with a guy like that. You can trust the guy to go make the play, to make the tough catch. He's certainly not afraid of contact."
So that's the book on the Colts through the air. On the ground, running back Jonathan Taylor has the third-most carries on first down (51, behind James Cook and Saquon Barkley) but is 37th in carries that've gone for zero or negative yards on first down (3; for reference, Cook also has three such runs while Barkley leads the NFL with 16).
Taylor's ability to avoid negative plays and keep the Colts in second- and third-and-single-digits matters plenty to this offense.
"It's huge," Steichen said. "I think when you got a guy that can create when not a lot's there, it definitely helps your offense stay on track in not getting you in those long-yardage situations. That's always a point of emphasis for us going into each and every week is staying out of negative plays, and when something's not there, being smart, but also trying to make a play when you have a chance."
As a result of all this, the Colts are tied with the Buffalo Bills for the fewest yards to go average on second down (7.0) and have the fifth-highest first down rate (37.1 percent) on second down in the NFL. And while the Colts drop to ninth in average yards to the sticks on third down (6.7), they lead the NFL in yards per play on third down (7.2) and are third in conversion rate (47.5 percent).
Jones, too, is one of two quarterbacks to not be sacked on third down (Sam Darnold is the other), and he's third in completion percentage on third down (74.3 percent), behind only Darnold and the New England Patriots' Drake Maye.
But the success the Colts have had on second and third down starts by this offense not putting itself in disadvantageous situations on first down.
"It's huge," Jones said. "It builds some momentum, kind of pushes the defense back a little bit and kind of helps you get going."
One moment here sticks out. The Colts' offense had stalled a bit against the Los Angeles Rams in Week 4, punting on two consecutive possessions in the third quarter. After getting the ball back at their own 10-yard line early in the fourth quarter, Jones ripped a nine-yard completion to Pittman; after converting on second-and-one, Taylor picked up eight yards on the ensuing first-and-10. Taylor then rushed for a first down, and on the next play, Jones lined up with Pittman for a gain of 17, pushing the Colts into Rams territory.
That drive ultimately ended with Jones finding Pittman for a two-yard touchdown on – as you might expect – first down.
