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  • Tue., Apr. 22, 2014 5:00PM - 7:00PM EDT Colts In Motion - Family Resource Night Extravaganza

    Colts In Motion is a 42-foot-long travelling museum full of interactive Colts history and memorabilia. It is free of charge and sure to take your event to the next level. There is no better way to show your Colts pride than to feature Colts In Motion at your next event.

  • Fri., Apr. 25, 2014 11:00AM - 12:30PM EDT Colts In Motion - Plainfield Elementary Schools Walkathon

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  • Sat., Apr. 26, 2014 10:00AM EDT Colts In Motion - Indy Mutt Strut

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  • Sun., Apr. 27, 2014 10:00AM - 5:00PM EDT Colts In Motion - WTHR Health & Fitness Expo

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  • Fri., May. 09, 2014 6:00PM - 9:00PM EDT Official Draft Party On Friday, May 9, fans can attend the team’s Official Drafty Day Party, sponsored in part by Bud Light and 1070 The Fan, to catch coverage of the draft at Colts Grille from 6-9 p.m.
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  • Mon., Jun. 16, 2014 6:00PM - 8:00PM EDT Colts In Motion - Indiana FFA Convention Chapter Fun Night

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  • Fri., Jun. 20, 2014 9:00AM - 11:00AM EDT Colts In Motion - Touch A Truck

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  • Sat., Jun. 28, 2014 5:00PM - 7:00PM EDT Colts In Motion - Indiana Legend Carl Storie with special guest Brett Wiscons Concert

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Colts Know Turnovers are Key Statistic

Posted Sep 13, 2013

Indianapolis has gone three straight regular-season games dating back to last season without a turnover and can set a franchise record Sunday against Miami with another one. Of all statistics that can be skewed, the importance of winning the turnover battle is a key indicator of a game’s outcome.



INDIANAPOLIS – Prior to last Sunday, the last time the Colts had gone three straight regular-season games without having a turnover came when their record went from 3-4 to 6-4 in the middle of the 2008 season.

 

That sudden ball security triggered a winning streak that eventually reached a league-record 23 straight games.

 

When Indianapolis was turnover-free five days ago against Oakland, it pushed Chuck Pagano’s record to 5-0 in such games as the team’s head coach, and it was a franchise record-tying three-game streak (dating back to last year’s final two games).

 

Questioned about that nice run Wednesday and the importance of continuing it, the personable Pagano paused before addressing an accomplishment he did not want to jinx.

 

“You had to do it,” Pagano finally laughed, then he kidded the reporter he would track him down in the stadium or have a hit put on him if the streak ended Sunday.

 

Ball security and creating takeaways is no laughing matter for any team, and last Sunday’s plus-two margin tipped the balance for a 21-17 victory. 

 

Greg Toler had an end-zone interception to stop the Raiders’ first drive, and Indianapolis quickly converted the takeaway into seven points.  Antoine Bethea had a red-zone theft on Oakland’s last drive to ice the game.

 

“It’s a big thing you have to do in the NFL,” said Toler.  “The turnover battle plays a big factor. The chart shows if you get one or two turnovers, you usually win.  I just learned that, and Coach Pagano is doing a great job of keeping us aware of all the stats to be special in. 

 

“If you get turnovers, you usually win.  You can’t manipulate that fact.  You don’t want to commit turnovers.  As a defense, we try to get as many as we can.”

 

Earlier this year, Pagano mentioned over the past decade or so, teams with a plus-two margin usually win about 83 percent of the time.  Indeed, since 2003 NFL teams at that ratio hold a 499-94 record (.841).  Those going plus-three or better won at a 93 percent clip (522-38-1). 

 

Teams that won the turnover battle in week one play went 10-1.  Ball security is a focal point.

 

“Absolutely.  Every week we go in on Wednesday morning when they come back in,” said Pagano. “We go through the keys to victory, and that’s first and foremost every time.  They get tired of hearing it, but if you protect the football and you take it away….

 

“It’s the number one indicator, other than score, for wins and losses in the NFL.  So, we’re going to emphasize it daily.”

 

COLTS RECORDS WITH TURNOVER HISTORY 1998-PRESENT

Year

Won-Loss

3 or more

2

1

Even

-1

-2

-3 or more

1998

3-13

0-0

1-1

0-0

1-3

1-3

0-4

0-2

1999

13-3

1-0

1-0

3-0

4-0

2-1

0-1

2-1

2000

10-6

1-0

1-0

3-0

2-0

3-2

0-2

0-2

2001

6-10

1-0

1-0

1-0

1-4

1-2

1-1

0-3

2002

10-6

1-0

1-0

3-0

3-1

1-0

1-4

0-1

2003

12-4

1-1

2-0

2-2

6-1

1-0

0-0

0-0

2004

12-4

2-0

5-0

2-0

2-1

1-3

0-0

0-0

2005

14-2

3-0

1-0

4-1

3-0

2-1

1-0

0-0

2006

12-4

2-0

2-0

3-0

3-2

1-1

1-1

0-0

2007

13-3

1-0

6-0

4-1

1-1

1-0

0-0

0-1

2008

12-4

3-0

2-0

2-0

3-0

2-2

0-2

0-0

2009

14-2

0-0

4-0

4-0

3-0

1-0

2-1

0-1

2010

10-6

1-0

5-0

0-0

2-1

1-0

1-2

0-3

2011

2-14

0-0

1-1

0-2

1-1

0-4

0-4

0-2

2012

11-5

1-0

1-0

2-0

3-0

3-2

1-0

0-3

2013

1-0

0-0

1-0

0-0

0-0

0-0

0-0

0-0

Total

155-86

18-1

35-2

33-6

38-15

21-21

8-22

2-19

PCT

.643

.947

.946

.846

.717

.500

.267

.010

 

Pep Hamilton kidded about points on the board being the chief indicator of outcome, but he knows those totals are influenced greatly by the team most efficient with the ball.

 

“Having opportunities to score points ties directly into securing the football,” said Hamilton.  “Protecting the football and taking away the football is an important part of winning games.  Turnovers without a doubt play a major factor in the outcome of a game.”

 

When the Colts were shooting for a fourth straight turnover-free game in 2008 it did not happen.  Had they done it in a win at San Diego, they would have tied a post-merger (1970) record accomplished by a number of teams.  Since then, New England extended the mark with seven straight spotless games in 2010.

 

Sunday, Bethea swiped Terrelle Pryor’s pass with 25 seconds left and quickly slid down.  He was one of the first players to swarm Marlin Jackson when Jackson did the same thing to clinch the AFC Championship game for the Colts in 2007.

 

Bethea agrees the turnover battle is one of the key statistics that truly indicate results.

 

“I think it is.  Every coach talks about winning the turnover battle,” said Bethea.  “Nine times out of 10, if you’re plus in the turnover battle, you win the game.  That’s something we really focus on as a defense.

 

“Plus anything but with plus-two, you have a real good chance of coming out with a ‘W.’  If we can get to plus-two or plus-three by taking that ball away, we’ll go a long way this year.”

 

 

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